that's why we call them swing states. a separate nbc news/"wall street journal"/marist poll shows a wired margin for the president, a six-point lead. john, do one of these guys have the clear momentum heading into tuesday, or is it still just absolutely up for grabs? >> well, christine, let's put all the partisan spin aside because there's a lot of that going on in the final days and hours of an election. what we've seen in the polls is president obama having a small but steady lead. mitt romney has been unable to kind of reverse that momentum here in ohio. a couple different reasons. take a look at poll. president obama big lead with women. governor romney, big lead with men. governor romney has a two-point edge with independent voters in our poll, but president obama has an almost 20-point lead with self-described moderate voters. >> that's interesting that there's a distinction those two. >> a very important distinction and hasn't happened in political history. the taeea party moving to the right. we're just in the tol